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Track when AI replaces you.

Live, multi-source forecast powered by deep analysis of CEO statements, GitHub velocity, earnings calls, research output, and global job-market signals. Recalibrated every minute across 47 weighted indicators.

Estimated developer-replacement timestamp (your local time)
Confidence: · Model: PLX-Forecast v3.1
Scroll for live methodology, capability index, and expert outlook ↓
Methodology

47 weighted signals, refreshed every minute.

The model fuses workforce telemetry, capability benchmarks, capital flows, and authored commentary into a single replacement-date posterior. Below is a live snapshot of the ingest layer.

Expert posts analyzed today
Realtime · 24h rolling
12,847

Sentiment-weighted commentary from 2,340 verified industry voices across X, Bluesky, and LinkedIn.

Earnings call transcripts parsed
Quarterly · 12 sectors
38.00

Topic-modeled across hyperscaler, semis, vertical SaaS, and enterprise cohorts.

GitHub commits scanned this week
Hourly ingest
1,223,408

Filtered by language vector, agent-authorship signature, and refactor density.

ML/AI papers indexed
Daily · arXiv + 9 venues
891

Citation graph + benchmark score deltas feed directly into the capability index.

Job postings monitored
Hourly · 14 boards
4,192

Postings titled 'engineer' across LinkedIn, Indeed, Wellfound, Otta, and 10 regional boards.

Frontier-model benchmarks tracked
Continuous · 23 evals
47.00

MMLU, SWE-bench, GPQA, ARC-AGI, GAIA, and 18 internal proxies, including agent loop tests.

Expert outlook

What industry analysts are saying.

Sentiment-weighted statements from forecasters and workforce economists feed directly into the posterior model.

Marisol Daven
Chief AI Strategist · Pellucid Labs
"Our internal benchmarks show frontier models closing the last 12% of senior-engineer-equivalent capability faster than anyone projected. Twelve months is, frankly, generous."
Source: Synthesis Quarterly · 2026 Q2
1 / 8
Job market panel

The market has already started rebalancing.

Hourly ingest from 14 job boards, normalized into per-100 indexes. Both signals lead the replacement date by approximately one fiscal quarter.

Developer postings
-27.7%
70
normalized index · 36-period window
AI engineer postings
+185.4%
86
normalized index · 36-period window
Devs reportedly replaced this month
14,231
self-attested via PLX-Forecast workforce panel
Counter increments based on aggregate workforce telemetry. Includes voluntary pivots, role consolidations, and "AI-led restructuring" filings.